Kerry's Lead of a Week Ago All Gone Now, Thanks to the Iraq prisoner scandal
UnfitKerry
Now, after a week of the Iraq prisoner scandal, Kerry's lead over Bush
has evaporated, and the two men are tied, 46-46.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm
Lucile Wilson
time. This is going to be a close race.Get used to it. If Bush doesn't cheat
again...Kerry will win but no landslide.
Republicans are like the blind leading the blind!
Colonel Panic
wrote:
Oh My God!
And it's only half a year until the election!
dino
wrote:
And shouldn't an incumbent "war" pResident have a substantial lead?
Posted by the Rubber Dino.
George Leroy Tyrebiter, Jr.
wrote:
>As recently as May 5, John Kerry had a 4-point lead over Bush, 47-43.
You forgot to correct for his bias. His last poll in 2000 had Bush
ahead by nine points. Thus is you take the 46 he has for Bush now, and
subtract the 9.5 Rasmussen correction, that gives Bush 35.5.
Kerry more than fifty.
Mr Rasmussen has probably "corrected" his models since his disastrous
Portrait of America 2000 year.
But we really don't have any evidence at all as to whether he's going
to get it right this year. He polls with automatic phones, not humans,
and that is not a method we have much experience with. Though Survey
of America seems to be doing well with it.
But Rasmussen? Not a proven pollster. We really can't give all that
much weight to what he says, in that we have never tested his current
model before.
I tihnk I'll stick with the proven established polls - Gallup, Zogby,
CBS, Harris. Etc.
And with those, Kerry is doing much better, for this early in the
campaign, than challengers normally do. You have to say that if you
want to consider polls this early, Kerry is the favorite.
But what evidence do we have that polls at this stage are good
predictors of the final vote? I'm not aware of any good evidence.
So I am not ready to say that Kerry is more likely to win than Bush
is.
We should stick to something other than our own opinion, and we just
don't have that.
.
Rex Tincher
On Thu, 13 May 2004 11:29:21 -0700, Colonel Panic <ro...@127.0.0.1>
wrote:
>On Thu, 13 May 2004 18:01:47 GMT, UnfitKerry <T_H...@BagsOMoney.com>
Half a year is 26 weeks. At 4 points per week, by the time of the
election Bush will have a 104 point lead over Kerry!
--
"You can't tell the kids to stop the violence with the mothers running
around like this."
--- Mary Ann Smith, after her son was shot by a Million Mom Marcher
More details at: http://www.tincher.to/mmm.htm
Carlos Sainz
<ti...@dnaco.netREMOVETHIS> wrote:
><snipped off-topic groups>
>
>On Thu, 13 May 2004 11:29:21 -0700, Colonel Panic <ro...@127.0.0.1>
>wrote:
>
>>On Thu, 13 May 2004 18:01:47 GMT, UnfitKerry <T_H...@BagsOMoney.com>
>>wrote:
>>
>>>As recently as May 5, John Kerry had a 4-point lead over Bush, 47-43.
>>>
>>>Now, after a week of the Iraq prisoner scandal, Kerry's lead over Bush
>>>has evaporated, and the two men are tied, 46-46.
>>>
>>>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm
>>
>>Oh My God!
>>
>>And it's only half a year until the election!
>
>Half a year is 26 weeks. At 4 points per week, by the time of the
>election Bush will have a 104 point lead over Kerry!
Holy crap! At that rate the Democratic party will owe points after
this election that will have to be carried over to the 2008 election.
They'll be starting off in a hole!
BlackWater
They'll have to run Tiger Woods ... he's good at
getting out of pits :-)
Alas, they'll probably run Hillary Rodham instead.
George Leroy Tyrebiter, Jr.
What do savvy pols call an incumbent running below fifty percent?
That's right - loser.
Dino
Also brilliant logicians. So if Bush spends 87 billion on the war and
then gets another 50 billion within a year, well your tax dollars are
being well spent on the board of Halliburton.
Posted by Rubber Dino
Matty
Maybe if we're lucky, there will be a religious nut who will stand as an
independent and be a BBQ stopper for the Republican party. Nothing would
please me more than seeing the Republican party split into factions resulting
in around 35% support for GWB.
Matty
--
My blog: http://kaiwai.blogspot.com/
"You don't have to live next to me, Just give me my
equality" - Nina Simone (Mississippi Goddam)
"Science without religion is lame, religion without
science is blind." - Albert Einstein
"You don't need to be 'straight' to fight and die
for your country. You just need to
shoot straight." - Barry Goldwater, (Ret. AF general)
Harry Grogan
Plenty of time for the libruls to GET THEIR WORD OUT!!!!LMFAO!!!
Harry Grogan
You'd think a famous Vietnam combat WAR HERO would have more than a
one or two point lead of some poor dumb draft dodging bumbling hick
from Texas that got us into a quagmire for Halliburton and oil!!
Harry Grogan
> <snipped off-topic groups>
>
> On Thu, 13 May 2004 11:29:21 -0700, Colonel Panic <ro...@127.0.0.1>
> wrote:
>
> >On Thu, 13 May 2004 18:01:47 GMT, UnfitKerry <T_H...@BagsOMoney.com>
> >wrote:
> >
> >>As recently as May 5, John Kerry had a 4-point lead over Bush, 47-43.
> >>
> >>Now, after a week of the Iraq prisoner scandal, Kerry's lead over Bush
> >>has evaporated, and the two men are tied, 46-46.
> >>
> >>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm
> >
> >Oh My God!
> >
> >And it's only half a year until the election!
>
> Half a year is 26 weeks. At 4 points per week, by the time of the
> election Bush will have a 104 point lead over Kerry!
Only "lead" that matters is the one Bush still has after the
Demoncrats empty the prisons,lunatic houses,old folks homes,soup
kitchens and pay these poor schmucks with a pack of smokes and a box
of fried chicken to vote for John "I'm a Vietnam vet" Kerry.
Harry Grogan
They're already starting off in a hole if the try to run Hillary!!
Harry Grogan
Now I know why we got a visit from UFO's the other day.The mother
ship is looking for you!!BEAM YOUR STINKING ASS UP SCOTYY!!
Harry Grogan
Shit in one hand and wish in the other and see which fills up first!!
Newk Mecah
"Harry Grogan" <maynardgk...@hotmail.com> wrote in message
news:1bdd8f88.04051...@posting.google.com...
Lil' Matty has ALREADY filled his pants! P U !!! His moma shore didn't
take the time to properly toilet train that lad!
Matty
You do realise that you surname Grogan is actually Australian slang for "shit"?
Matty
--
jslater
approval rating at all-time low of 44%; Kerry leading Bush in Ohio
polling beyond the margin of error, and no Repub. has ever won the
presidency without winning Ohio ...--Joe
Gogarty
jsl...@utnet.utoledo.edu says...
Was just glancing at CNN. Bush is cratering. Don't have the numbers but
on terrorism, Iraq and the economy he is in deep doodoo. That's some
trifecta.
Harry Grogan
NO SHIT??Ya' reckon the "Harry" means anything??You fucking drooling idiot!!
BlackWater
(a) It ain't november yet
(b) 49% is OK so long as your
opponent only gets 48% of
the vote.
Kerry is a BORE ... AlBore with a fancier hair-do.
The more he talks, the lamer he sounds. In the end,
people will get over their minor annoyances with
Bush, take a good look at Kerry (and Kerry and Kerry)
and say "No WAY !".
George Leroy Tyrebiter, Jr.
No, it's not. Not early.
It's a bad sign.
>
> Kerry is a BORE ... AlBore with a fancier hair-do.
> The more he talks, the lamer he sounds. In the end,
> people will get over their minor annoyances with
> Bush, take a good look at Kerry (and Kerry and Kerry)
> and say "No WAY !".
Some will. Some won't. Poll coming out tomorrow - 42 percent say Bush
deserves reelection, 51 percent say no.
It's early.
But these figures are signs of defeat for an incumbent.
>