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Reuters Poll: 73% of Independents Oppose Obamacare
Most Americans oppose President Barack Obama's healthcare reform even though
they strongly support most of its provisions, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed on
Sunday, with the Supreme Court set to rule within days on whether the law
should stand.
Fifty-six percent of people are against the healthcare overhaul and 44
percent favor it, according to the online poll conducted from Tuesday
through Saturday.
The survey results suggest that Republicans are convincing voters to reject
Obama's reform even when they like much of what is in it, such as allowing
children to stay on their parents' insurance until age 26.
Strong majorities favor most of what is in the law.
A glaring exception to the popular provisions is the "individual mandate,"
which forces all U.S. residents to own health insurance.
Sixty-one percent of Americans are against the mandate, the issue at the
center of the Republicans' contention that the law is unconstitutional,
while 39 percent favor it.
"That's really the thing that has come to define the (reform) and is the
thing that could potentially allow the Supreme Court to dismantle it if they
decide it's not constitutional," Ipsos pollster Chris Jackson said.
In good news for Republicans at November's congressional elections, 45
percent said they were more likely to vote for a member of Congress who
campaigned on a platform of repealing the law, versus 26 percent who said it
would make them less likely, the survey showed.
The Supreme Court is expected to rule on the 2010 healthcare reform, Obama's
signature domestic policy achievement, this week, possibly as early as
Monday.
The political stakes are sky-high on an issue that has galvanized
conservative opposition to the Democratic president, and how the court's
decision is framed politically could influence the outcome of the November 6
general election.
Support for the provisions of the healthcare law was strong, with a full 82
percent of survey respondents, for example, favoring banning insurance
companies from denying coverage to people with pre-existing conditions.
Sixty-one percent are in favor of allowing children to stay on their
parents' insurance until age 26 and 72 percent back requiring companies with
more than 50 employees to provide insurance for their employees.
PARTISAN DIVISION
Americans are strongly divided along partisan lines. Among Republicans, 86
percent oppose and 14 percent favor the law and Democrats back it by a
3-to-1 margin, 75 percent to 25 percent, the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed.
But in what could be a key indicator for the presidential contest, people
who describe themselves as political independents oppose the law by 73
percent to 27 percent.
Opposition among independents has been growing. In a survey conducted in
April, two weeks after the Supreme Court heard the case, 63 percent of them
opposed the measure, and 37 percent favored it.
"Republicans have won the argument with independents and that's really been
the reason that we see the majority of the public opposing it," Jackson
said.
Republicans have dominated the political message on healthcare with calls to
"repeal and replace" the law, condemned by conservatives as a government
intrusion into private industry and the lives of private citizens. It passed
in March 2010 with no Republican support in Congress.
Mitt Romney, the likely Republican presidential nominee, has promised to
repeal the law if he defeats Obama, although he has not offered a plan of
his own. Obama, who says he modeled the measure on a healthcare plan Romney
passed as governor of Massachusetts, has defended it.
Obama critics - some from within his own party - have also questioned the
president for focusing on healthcare reform early in his term instead of
doing everything he could to fix the struggling U.S. economy.
Democrats back the measure as an effort to improve the lives of Americans
and essential to control spiraling costs that are undermining the country's
overall economic health. Healthcare expenditures in the United States neared
$2.6 trillion in 2010, over 10 times the $256 billion spent in 1980,
according to the Kaiser Family Foundation.
A good portion of the opposition to the healthcare law is because Americans
want more reform, not less of it.
The poll found that a large number of Americans - including about one-third
of Republicans and independents who disagree with the law - oppose it
because it does not go far enough to fix healthcare.
Seventy-one percent of Republican opponents reject it overall, while 29
percent feel it does not go far enough, while independent opponents are
divided 67 percent to 33 percent. Among Democratic opponents, 49 percent
reject it overall, and 51 percent wish the measure went further.
"If you add the people that oppose it because they think it doesn't go far
enough, you get a majority of Americans, so it doesn't mean that healthcare
reform is dead," Jackson said.
There was party division in Americans' view of the individual mandate.
Overall, 61 percent of Americans oppose requiring all U.S. residents to own
health insurance. Among Republicans, the percentage rose to 81 percent, and
it was 73 percent among independents. But a majority of Democrats - 59
percent - favor the individual mandate.
The survey of 1,043 Americans was conducted from June 19-23. The precision
of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval.
In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.5
percentage points.
© 2012 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.
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