On 4/22/2013 6:35 AM, Kirby Grant wrote:
>> HOwever, how can we ever have proof they can do that? We'd have to be on-
>> >site with full access to everything.
>> >
> Who is saying that they don't have access? Ever heard of a proxy? Just
> because there is no American in a business suit there to perform a direct
> examination doesn't mean there is no access at all.
Oh my yes, I'm sure Dennis Rodman brought his travel edition Geiger
Counter and made a full inspection...
> Things are pretty grim in North Korea. It is probably quite easy to find a few people who have
> direct knowledge of North Korean nuclear capabilities and offer them a
> couple thousand dollars to spill their guts on everything they know and
> provide copies of documentation as well.
Oh lookie who fancies himself to be a modern day John LeCarre...
>> >We can't know the details of the interior of a missile they launch. We
>> >can monitor the launch well with radar, optical, and monitor telemetry.
>> >We likely can't decrypt the telemetry, and that might not tell us anyway
>> >if a "real" warhead were on the missile... Which, just as likely doesn't
>> >need to be so tested anyway.. Components, yes..
>> >
> Actually, we probably know the exact technical information. That's why we
> aren't too worried.
So unworried that we placed missile defense systems on Guam...
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-03/u-s-to-deploy-thaad-anti-missile-system-to-guam-pentagon-says.html
North Korea presents a “real and clear danger” to the U.S. and allies in
the region, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel said today. Kim Jong Un’s
regime possesses a nuclear weapons capacity as well as the capability to
deliver missiles, Hagel said in his first policy speech as secretary,
delivered at the National Defense University in Washington.
‘Bellicose, Dangerous’
“They’ve ratcheted up their bellicose, dangerous rhetoric, and some of
the actions they’ve taken over the last few weeks present a real and
clear danger and threat to the interests, certainly of our allies”
including South Korea and Japan, Hagel said. He said North Korea also
has leveled threats “directly at the United States regarding our base in
Guam, threatened Hawaii, threatened the West Coast of the United States.”
The U.S. is taking the threat seriously and is engaged in joint
exercises with South Korea as well as working with China to ask its help
in defusing the situation, Hagel said.
>> >The US hasn't done that with our nuclear-armed missiles. In fact, we've
>> >never launched even an ICBM period from an operational base - just from
>> >places like Vandenberg. People would worry about a missile launch from
>> >the US interior, which wouldn't be any risk to anybody anyway... US
>> >Minuteman missile bases are at AFB's in Missouri, Wyoming, North and
>> >South Dakota..
>> >
> Not true at all. The fact that it has not been published cannot be construed
> to mean it has never happened. We have to know that the equipment works.
> That means it must be tested. Perhaps not with live nuclear warheads, but
> certainly there is much more to the process than just trusting that it would
> work.
You will of course provide proof of live launch testing from continental
ICBM sites for us, won't you?
Put it here:____________________________________________________
https://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/usa/icbm/lgm-118.htm
https://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/usa/icbm/n19980323_980401.html
The purpose of a SELP is to exercise the ground and airborne command and
control elements, as well as exercise the Peacekeeper Intercontinental
Ballistic Missile up to initiation of the launch eject gas generator.
The data garnered by this test is vital for strategic integrated
operations plan planners and for aging and surveillance purposes.
Besides providing data to U.S. Strategic Command and the ICBM system
program office at Hill AFB, Utah, SELP demonstrates the 90th Space Wing
can execute its warfighting mission.
"The months of preparation and training by maintenance and operations
personnel really showed and allowed us to overcome all obstacles to a
successful test," said Maj. John Anderson, Giant Pace test manager.
>> >It's been in the press before how some argue we should have tested an
>> >ICBM from an operational base, not just Vandenberg.. They don't because
>> >people would worry, like with napalm going through their community.
>> >Which I imagine is safer than a gasoline tanker..
>> >
> That is pretty naive. Testing has always been included. That it isn't
> published in the press just means that the press wasn't invited to observe -
> and there is no reason why they should be.
You haven't a clue what you're babbling about.
https://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/usa/icbm/n19980323_980401.html
The purpose of a SELP is to exercise the ground and airborne command and
control elements, as well as exercise the Peacekeeper Intercontinental
Ballistic Missile up to initiation of the launch eject gas generator.
>> >We have of course launched polaris, poseidon, trident missiles from
>> >operational bases - operational line submarines, in testing.. But
>> >haven't demonstrated to anybody that the nuclear weapons that would be on
>> >them work in that situation.. We've undoubtedly tested components of the
>> >weapons, without real plutonium/tritium cores... But no public proof of
>> >that..
>> >
> Naive. Naive. Naive. How on earth do you come up with such conclusions?
We're not seeing any data from you again, are we?
Is it hidden in your "Tea Party" folder somewhere?
>> >Hopefully, the North Koreans won't do an open air test.. over some open
>> >ocean location.. by missile launch, or aircraft drop.. That'd definitely
>> >get people's attention though..
>> >
> They are crazy people. They might do something just to get attention. Are
> you familiar with the story "The Mouse that Roared"?
Weren't you just decrying "Don Quixote" as not applicable to Usenet?
I suppose you simply prefer to pick and choose your own fictional
references....
>> >The Pakistanis aren't usually thought of as technically a super competent/
>> >advanced nation, but their nuclear capability sounds pretty advanced.
>> >Surprised me.. If the Wikipedia stuff is accurate..
>> >
>> >They've developed a range of weapons, including working on MIRV systems..
>> >Thermonuclear..
>> >
> The Pakistanis know that India has greater capabilities. They know that
> Pakistan would be the total loser in any nuclear exchange. They cannot
> afford to lose. They like flinging around the rhetoric, but they have opted
> for at least somewhat peaceful co-existence.
Astounding that after the blather above you finally managed to veer back
into the path of reality-based observations.
I wager you'll not hold the focus for long though.