On Tue, 21 May 2013 18:24:49 -0500, Man of Mind wrote:
Try this, cupcake:
ttp://
www.newsnet5.com/dpp/weather/weather_news/United-Kingdom-Meteorology-
Office-declares-Earth-hasnt-warmed-in-15-years
By: Mark Johnson,
newsnet5.com
CLEVELAND - There are three agencies around the globe that are the keepers
of global temperature numbers. The first is NASA. The second is the
University of Huntsville in Alabama (satellite temperature records). The
third is the University of East Anglia's Climate Research Unit, the UK Met,
as it is known.
Last week, the UK Met released its latest global temperature data to the
world. It shows that the Earth has not warmed in 15 years. The warming
ceased after the great super El Nino of 1998.
The numbers are based on readings from more than 30,000 measuring stations
around the planet. The data was quietly released last week without fanfare
and it confirms that the rising trend in world temperatures ended in 1997.
So, what does this mean for those scientists advocating the Global
Warming/Climate Change Theory? In 2007, the UK Met Office claimed that
global warming was about to "come roaring back." It said that between 2004
and 2014 there would be an overall increase in global temperature of 0.3C.
In 2009, it predicted that at least three of the years 2009 to 2014 would
break the previous temperature record set in 1998. This has not happened.
These warming predictions are based on the outputs of computer forecast
known as Global Climate Models (GCMs). None of the GCMs have seen nor
predicted the lack of warming over the past 15 years, even as CO2 levels
continue to rise.
The Met Office was relying on the same computer models that are being
undermined by the current pause in global-warming.
Dr. Nicola Scafetta, of Duke University in North Carolina, is the author of
several peer-reviewed papers on GCMs. He argues the Met Office climate
models show there should have been "steady warming from 2000 until now."
"If temperatures continue to stay flat or start to cool again," Scafetta
said, "the divergence between the models and recorded data will eventually
become so great that the whole scientific community will question the
current theories."
Professor Judith Curry agrees. She is one of AmericaοΏ½s most eminent climate
experts and works at the Georgia Institute of Technology. She argued it is
becoming evident that factors other than CO2 play an important role in
rising or falling warmth, such as the 60-year water temperature cycles in
the Pacific and Atlantic oceans.
"The responsible thing to do would be to accept the fact that the models
may have severe shortcomings," Curry said. As for the lack of warmer in the
last 15 years, she said that many scientists "are not surprised."
"When both oceans were cold in the past, such as from 1940 to 1970, the
climate cooled," Curry said. "The Pacific cycle οΏ½flippedοΏ½ back from warm to
cold mode in 2008 and the Atlantic is also thought likely to flip in the
next few years."
Pal Brekke, senior adviser at the Norwegian Space Centre, said some
scientists underestimate the importance of water cycles when considering
global temperature trends.
"Doing so means admitting that the oceans - not CO2 - caused much of the
global warming between 1970 and 1997," Brekke said.
The UK Met office disagrees, saying according to their numbers, the decade
of the 2000's was the warmest on record and they believe the warming will
continue soon. "What is absolutely clear is that we have continued to see a
trend of warming, with the decade of 2000-2009 being clearly the warmest in
the instrumental record going back to 1850. The ten year projection remains
groundbreaking science. The complete period for the original projection is
not over yet and these projections are regularly updated to take account of
the most recent data."
"WeοΏ½re now well into the second decade of the pause,οΏ½ said Benny Peiser,
director of the Global Warming Policy Foundation. "If we donοΏ½t see
convincing evidence of global warming by 2015, it will start to become
clear whether the models are bunk. And, if they are, the implications for
some scientists could be very serious."
Read the UK Met's full response to the UK Daily Mail article HERE .
> On 5/21/2013 4:32 PM, smelly_fat whimpered pompously:
>>
>> ... there has been tornadic activity just as bad in the past...
>
> Got something besides an anecdotal reference, smelly_fat?
>
>> I know... I lived in Tornado Alley in Oklahoma in the early 60's.
>
> As did I..
>
>> We were in the storm shelters EVERY FUCKING DAY
>
> Nope, you are completely FOS..
.