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China's sex ratio in the near future

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earlcolby...@sympatico.ca

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May 6, 2008, 4:59:58 PM5/6/08
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I know this was discussed a year ago, but China is a hard country to
get firm facts on it's population. Has more come out? I was reminded
of the problem from this and so ask:

On Apr 14, 11:53 pm, David Kohlhoff <dkohlh...@hotmail.com> wrote:

> One of the things to remember is that China is going to be entering a
> period of social anxiety as the gender imbalance generations reach
> maturity.

I have never found firm numbers for the gender ratios for the entire
population of China or even that of major subdivisions of the country.

Does anyone have a link to reliable numbers?

One thing however, the reports I did read pointed out was that some
villages were almost empty of young males as they had all left to make
money in the cities. And some villages had almost not young females
when the one-child policy was at it's peak influence and parents
screened for male children.

Ratio of the general population male vs female that I have read have
ratios as low as 100m to 105f and as high as 100m to 123f.

The top ratio spells big trouble down the road.

Anyone have the facts?

Alfred Montestruc

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Jun 8, 2008, 10:07:49 PM6/8/08
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_sex_ratio


country total at birth under 15 15–65 over 65
China 1.06 1.12 1.13 1.06 0.91

earlcolby...@sympatico.ca

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Jun 10, 2008, 12:15:05 AM6/10/08
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> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_sex_ratio

Thanks you, for some reason Wiki did not come to mind. I guess I am
getting old and set in my ways. :)

Not the best ratios, but not the worse either. On the other-hand the
last three entries (all mid-east) were interesting to see.

Again, thanks.

Alfred Montestruc

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Jun 17, 2008, 11:17:10 PM6/17/08
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On Jun 9, 11:15 pm, earlcolby.pottin...@sympatico.ca wrote:

Yes interesting.

Perhaps it is a case of miscounting though, the women in a man's
family (including his mother, grandmother, aunts, and elder sisters)
are a very much taboo subject among Arabs IIRC, so they may refuse to
allow attempts to count the number of females in a household. Also
they are not supposed to speak to non family members when they are out
and about which is seldom.

I think that may explain it. Conservative Muslim Arabs are in many
ways like American fundamentalists in that they think it ain't none of
the government's business, they refuse to answer and will actively try
to sabotage attempts to pry into their business.

Good Habit

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Jun 18, 2008, 5:59:13 PM6/18/08
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Alfred Montestruc schrieb:

>> Not the best ratios, but not the worse either. On the other-hand the
>> last three entries (all mid-east) were interesting to see.

[Kuwait, United Arab Emirates, Qatar]
>>
>> Again, thanks.
>
> Yes interesting.
>
> Perhaps it is a case of miscounting ...

No, it isn't - the vast majority of the population in the Gulf Emirates
are recent (male) immigrant workers (up to 80 % of the total
population), without political rights, and without the right to take
their families along - their wives and kids are back home in India or
Pakistan, or wherever...

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