[quote]
>Katsoulis said it's not unusual to see an increase in births nine months
>after an event of significant impact.
Interesting generalization of "blackout babies". Of course, the explanation
that someone couldn't find the condoms or couldn't watch TV doesn't really
work if you're talking about something like a sports team victory as the
explanation for the unfalsifiable "increase in births".
I recall an interesting phenomenon, discussed in AFU at the time, of people
talking about babies born nine months plus a day after September 11, 2001
and the attack on the World Trade Center towers. New parents were
interviewed saying about how the horror inspired them to forge on, renewal
of life, etc. And the conclusion was, of course, that there was a spike.
(In the absence of statistics, of course; just based on individual anecdotes.)
But the fact that those people (who decided to get pregnant, and succeeded
in doing so, on September 12, 2001) had the previous day's events heavy
on their mind is again tangential to the increase-of-births theory.
People who decided to get pregnant on other days had other motivations,
not necessarily less pregnancy-inducing even if less news-worthy.
(I think everyone is taking for granted the silliness of the basic theory,
but in case not: the main argument against the "blackout babies" UL,
as I see it, is that if someone is so obviously grabbable during a
blackout, then in many cases you will have had sex with them also some
days before and some days after. And so it won't increase the rate of
pregnancy because, basically, getting pregnant on Monday prevents getting
pregnant on Wednesday, and even vice versa (reverse time causality!).
Now if pregnancies all lasted exactly 274.0 days then there might be
an observable spike for a day, compensated by a dip in the surrounding
couple of days. But they don't. And as for the condom difficulty theory,
I've never heard of an electrically-operated condom.)