"JRStern" wrote in message
news:3ot5a8denrqqkj2br...@4ax.com...
> On Tue, 13 Nov 2012 20:32:20 -0500, "KalElFan"
> <
kale...@yanospamhoo.com> wrote:
>
>> This Obama second-term thing could go either way folks.
>
> Oh, I hardly think so.
Sometimes on Usenet, inspiration comes in unusual ways.
Like logical proofs of factually incorrect statements posing
as opinions.
The issue is what part of "could go either way" you may
have overlooked. You obviously think you were disagreeing
with me on something, but the line you quoted is irrefutable
UNLESS...
You argue the fallacy that there's a precise but infinitesimally
small point, along an Obama second-term "this way" and "that
way" continuum, which is immovably fixed and is unaffected
by anything that happens with scandals surrounding it. Or by
extension is perpetually unaffected by anything else for that
matter, since there's no reason to believe in some Cosmic
Spooky Force neutralizing only the scandal effects.
If we get beyond that amusing (or not!) diversion, maybe we'll
find a clue what you really meant in the rest of your post I'll get
to. But this whole Benghazi-Petraeus scandal-vs-scandal stuff
is going to have an affect and a potentially very big one. I'm
rooting for the fallout to be bipartisan and a really great Obama
second term, but there are scenarios where it will all turn very
sour very quickly.
> Is Broadwell active military today, or this year, or last? I didn't
> think so...
Beyond pointing out that all you did there was ask a three-part
question and either answer it incorrectly or with a total non-
sequitur, take up your running around in circles with the article
then, will ya? It and multiple other sources have alluded to her
military background and top secret security clearance. The
specific article cite I gave was talking about the possibility of
the "sanction" being removal of her security clearance. Duh.
It'd be tough to remove what she doesn't have, and the article
says she has it.
She's doesn't have to be active military to have it, many people
who aren't military can have it. Maybe she's reserve and has it.
The point, when this smearing campaign started and the info
about Broadwell came out, was that she WASN'T some Paula
Jones civilian consultant or employee bimbo. One comment in
a talkback I saw quipped "Sounds like another astronut case"
or some such. It was alluding to that female astronaut who
had had a relationship with another astronaut, or thought she
did, and ended up driving from Texas to Florida all night, in
incontinence briefs so she wouldn't have to stop, in order to
not just confront a perceived romantic rival but forcibly confine
her with duct tape and who knows what else from there.
Aside from the fact there's ZERO evidence Broadwell did that
or ANYTHING REMOTELY RESEMBLING IT -- even the allegedly
"threatening" emails are reportedly overblown -- we get back
to the Paula Jones comparison not applying. Anyone wondering
how it could be that David Petraeus could allow some bimbo
off the street, or some intern or mail room babe, or stripper or
whatever else access has been fed the wrong spin. It never
happened. That's Bill Clinton, or John Edwards perhaps.
With Petraeus, it was a hot-looking competitive Military Babe
who can outrun a lot of men, and out push-up both her own
husband and John Stewart on Comedy Central. They're out of
gas at 30 or whatever and she's doing 60 before it's time to
end the segment and go to commercial. Petraeus first met her
in 2006 apparently. She may have been a Lieutenant Colonel
then, she may have started working on her PhD not long after.
Initially, there's probably no affair, but according to sources
close to Petraeus they start one in 2011, about 4-5 years later.
You've seen the pictures of her. She's written the successful
biography of him, and Petraeus has had 4-5 years of off and
on running with her. It doesn't matter much whether she's
ranking military or reserve or retired military, with security
clearance or previously having had it long-term, the point is
she's trustworthy from his point of view. He's at CIA so the
unenforceable (and even more unenforced after "Don't Ask
Don't Tell" is gone) "adultery" charge doesn't even apply.
So he succumbs. It happens. It's really nobody's business,
and more importantly this was ESTABLISHED -- i.e. that there
was no issue here -- at least a week or more before the 2012
election and possibly several weeks before. Yet, the day of
the election, the smear campaign all leaks out in a flood.
> ... so she would have no clearance (unless they finagled one for
> her as a journalist and that isn't much done, is it?), and in no case
> would she be allowed to have classified material on a home
> computer.
Here again you're not just off on a tangent you're trying to go in two
different directions at once. She's a published author of a biography
of David Petraeus. Given that and her military background, she can
credibly assert as much right to a military "journalism" hat as 95%
of the poor excuse for so-called journalists in mainstream media.
Assume you're right that she was no longer military and no longer
had clearances -- something at odds with Military.com and their
story, and with AP as well perhaps, so you'll excuse my being a
bit skeptical about some guy on Usenet speculating otherwise with
nothing to back it up -- then we can say she's now a private citizen
and had a writer-journalist-speaker-citizen hat on. She and others
in the foursome may well become part of the whistle-blowing-
palooza festival we're going to be seeing in the coming weeks
and months.
There is no issue with a writer, journalist or whistleblower spilling
the beans on ANYTHING. They end up mostly folk heroes if there's
been wrongdoing. Right now, we're in the gossip-fueled joke phase
and the retort would be "Oh, she was blowing four-star whistles all
right" and yes ha ha ha that's a good one. But when that whole
media gossip orgy stops, the much more serious issues building
here WILL be getting much more scrutiny and Obama's second term
is and will be affected.
I think Holder should step down, i.e. say he wants to pursue other
interests and will not be staying for a second term.
Former Arizona governor and current Secretary of Homeland Security
Janet Napolitano would be a good, bipartisan, and confirmable choice
to replace Holder. Napolitano's worst faux pas were probably from
2009, the "man-caused disaster" euphemism for terrorism and the
later characterization of security having "worked" in the Underwear
Bomber case Christmas 2009. The terrorist there, or his bomb tech
supplier was inept, and so the plane to Detroit didn't get taken down.
But security definitely didn't "work" in that "man-caused disaster"
that almost happened.
Live and learn. The "man-caused disaster" Words Gone Wild thing
was funny and no big deal at worst, and at best may have helped hit
bottom on that kind of language lunacy. At least Obama didn't call
Benghazi a "man-caused disaster" in the Rose Garden. So I think
Napolitano would be confirmed easily. Leave Susan Rice at the UN
if she wants that. Kerry for Secretary of State.
At Homeland (if Napolitano accepts Attorney General) I'll suggest
this Senator from Maine be at least offered the job as a bipartisan
shout-out. She might take it. She's up for re-election in 2014 and
won in 2008, Obama's year, by 60%+ in Maine. So she wouldn't
be fearing losing in 2014, but maybe she wants a change and in
the bipartisan spirit maybe she'd take it:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Susan_Collins
"First elected to the Senate in 1996, she is the ranking member
of the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental
Affairs."
So she'd certainly be qualified one would think, and probably get
confirmed 99-0 (would she be allowed to vote for herself? :-))
For Defence and CIA the choice is a bit more complex, because
of Benghazi being ongoing. I'd probably keep the Interim guy
there at CIA for now and into next year if that's possible, and
maybe ask Panetta to stay for now if he'd agree. Failing that,
Obama should perhaps ask Colin Powell or someone respected
and bipartisan-appealing enough to serve a term in either of
those jobs but maybe CIA. Powell is a former Secretary of State
not just a former General and head of the Joint Chiefs.
For Defence if Panetta won't stay for now, maybe again draw
from one of the Senate or House Armed Services Committees,
i.e. if the Senate then the same idea as Collins and Kerry (the
latter is Chairman on the Foreign Relations Committee). Carl
Levin is Chairman of Armed Services on the Senate side, John
McCain ranking Republican, and Joe Lieberman was second to
Levin but didn't run for another term this year and so will be
leaving the Senate in January.
If Lieberman would do it that would be a good bipartisan
choice, but if McCain would do it it might be a great message
to Iran that neither Obama nor Romney were lying about the
military option. That would increase the chances of a peaceful
resolution because Iran would know the military threat is very
credible. Kerry, who's statesman-like but also former military,
could do his best to get a diplomatic deal but still convey the
message Obama has, which is (paraphrasing) the clock's a
ticking. Negotiating as a stalling tactic while they get nuke
capability is not an option.
That would allow the Iranian regime to see the light. They could
blame the sanctions (which are hurting and will only hurt worse)
and do a deal, make themselves look better. Everybody wins,
peace wins, 100% verification is part of the deal and a military
outcome is avoided.
Or the nutjobs in Iran could dig in and by the end of it they've
probably lost not just their nukes but their regime if they shoot
back. Toppling of regimes is the relatively easier part especially
if they fire back after the nuke program is taken out. The U.S.
military is good at that, or having tyrants run for caves or the
hills. It's the 5-to-10 years of helping nation build that costs
most of the blood and treasure. So unfortunate as it may be,
a credible military option can at least solve the problem for
probably the next 20+ years and give a younger generation
in Iran a chance to replace the nutjobs. It becomes a win-
win for not just the U.S. and the West, but the region and
the World if the nutjobs insist on leaving early.
If Obama asks Romney to help with the new Department of
Business and Commerce, and once that's in place maybe
become the first Secretary of Business and Commerce,
again that'd be very bipartisan.
There was talk of Erskine Bowles, of Bowles-Simpson fame,
for Treasury. Good choice, especially in the signal it would
send that something reasonable and bipartisan may get done.
Bowles would also help justify the one area where I think Obama
needs to play hardball with the Republican House, which is to
let the Bush tax cuts on the wealthy expire this January. The
RATES need to go back up to the 39% for the rich, which was the
premise of Simpson-Bowles. Maybe Romney, Boehner, etc. get
the $250,000 raised to $350,000 and Obama agrees, but if the
Republicans in the House don't see they have to cave on this
they're idiots.
If the House digs in, the Democrats will be there every day,
along with the media, waving the legislation they're ready
to sign to extend the tax cuts on everyone making under the
$250,000. The Republicans will be massacred in 2014. They
have to give in, in fact they should embrace it. Maybe double-
down on middle class tax cuts by insisting on a drop in rates
BELOW Bush tax cuts level, to compensate for expiry of the
payroll tax holiday. Do the extension for six months or a year
max, during which time tax reform and spending cuts including
entitlement programs are on the table and negotiated.
The Republicans would become the champions of not hitting
the middle class with ANY tax increase in January, and after
biting the 39% bullet they'd be free to focus on areas less
damaging to them than "Protect the Rich At All Costs!"
The Democrats would have to agree to the additional cut
for the middle class I think, especially given the 39% being
conceded for the wealthy. It would also help the Norquist
Pledge-signing members Boehner has to herd, because the
increase to 39% (which they can't stop) will have been
transformed into middle-class tax cuts above and beyond
the Bush tax cuts. (Not sure if it would end up revenue
neutral or not; the numbers would have to be run.)
> Nobody is under scrutiny because there are no standards
> any more, nor laws, nor reason. Just hysteria and slander.
Sounds like a good description of the mainstream media to
me, but Tom thinks it's all about Fox News.
> Have a nice day.
You too and to all reading!