At some point, I think this would make a great set of Google Subscribed
Links <http://www.google.com/coop/subscribedlinks/>. This would allow people
to see current PM prices in their Google search results. For example, if you
searched for "2008 Election" on Google, you could see something at the top
such as as:
2008 US Election: Prediction Market Odds:
Democrat: 58%, Republican: 42%
Sources InTrade <http://intrade.com> (58/42),
Inkling<http://inklingmarkets.com>(60/40),
NewsFutures <http://newsfutures.com> (55/45), etc.
... something like this would show up for people who signed up for the
PMIA's subscribed links.
Also: Some people at Google wanted to build this functionality into the core
search product at one point, so that you could get prediction market odds to
show up on in search results for *everyone* (not just people who subscribed
to this kind of results)*.* We were thinking that it would show up in a way
similar to how stock quotes currently appear on search results when you type
a stock ticker into Google (see
example<http://www.google.com/search?q=GOOG&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&aq=t&rls=com.ub...>).
So if this became a well designed data feed and useful feature, we could
talk about moving it off the subscribed model and onto the general public's
search results for certain queries (no promises though).
Obviously this would be a good idea for other search engine's results if
they have a subscribed links program.
Bo
On Nov 5, 2007 3:56 PM, Emile Servan-Schreiber <e...@newsfutures.com> wrote:
> All,
> Offering convenient access to the vast trove of predictions currently
> offered by the growing number of prediction markets is something that would
> benefit the whole industry, and it's one of the stated goals of the PMIA.
> As an experiment, I've been playing with a Google custom search engine for
> prediction markets. It does a regular Google search, but restricted to
> specific PM sites* rather than the whole Web. You can try out the
> Prediction Market Search Engine at http://www.pmindustry.org/search.html
> As a way of pulling predictions, it is rather disappointing. It seems
> that, as PM publishers, we're all doing a terrible job of making our sites'
> predictions properly available to search engines... To build something
> useful, we'll likely need to start by setting some prediction-reporting
> standards. At this point, all ideas are welcome. Let's get the ball rolling
> !
> --
> Emile Servan-Schreiber
> www.newsfutures.com
> www.bet2give.com
> (*) The sites currently included in the search are (in alphabetical
> order): Bet2Give, Central Intelligence Market, Foresight Exchange, FT
> Predict, Gexid, Hollywood Stock Exchange, Inkling, Intrade, Iowa Electronic
> Markets, Media Predict, National Journal Political Stock Exchange,
> NewsFutures, Nimanix, PopSci Prediction Exchange, PublicGyan, qMarkets,
> Reality Markets, The Sim Exchange, Storage Markets, Tradesports, Wahl
> Fieber, Washington Stock Exchange, Yahoo! Tech Buzz Game. If you don't see
> your PM site listed, send me a note with your site's name and url and I'll
> include it.
|
