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Adam Lasnik Google employee  
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(13 users)  More options Dec 13 2007, 6:26 pm
From: Adam Lasnik
Date: Thu, 13 Dec 2007 15:26:23 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 13 2007 6:26 pm
Subject: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
According to our calculations, Webado has made nearly 10,000 posts in
our group here and in the process has helped countless webmasters.  To
celebrate, we're running a just-for-fun contest in her honor.

If you're up for a bit of entertaining prognostication, drop a reply
here guessing when Webado will make her 10,000th post (both date and
also time in Eastern Standard Time) and we'll see who gets closest.

Or feel to just chime in with those of us from the Google Webmaster
Help team in giving Webado a warm thank you for being such a great
member of our community.


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JLH  
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(11 users)  More options Dec 13 2007, 7:47 pm
From: JLH
Date: Thu, 13 Dec 2007 16:47:35 -0800 (PST)
Local: Thurs, Dec 13 2007 7:47 pm
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
This rings a bell...

http://groups.google.com/group/Google_Webmaster_Help-chit-chat/browse...

I quickly found that multiple people guessed the same day/time so it
was nice to keep track on a calender (google has one of those)

On Dec 13, 5:26 pm, Adam Lasnik wrote:


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webado  
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(11 users)  More options Dec 14 2007, 12:41 am
From: webado
Date: Thu, 13 Dec 2007 21:41:33 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Dec 14 2007 12:41 am
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
Errr..... I missed that event myself it seems ....

ROFL

On Dec 13, 7:47 pm, JLH wrote:


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JLH  
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(11 users)  More options Dec 14 2007, 3:14 am
From: JLH
Date: Fri, 14 Dec 2007 00:14:10 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Dec 14 2007 3:14 am
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
All right I'll go first, as everyone appears kind of shy.

If you take a look at Webado's performance you'll know that her
posting rate can be described by the formula

Where Y = Number of Posts and X = Minutes

Y = -9E-09x^2 + 0.0214x + 5535.6

Solving for Y at 10,000 the obvious answer then becomes:

January 8, 2008 at 11:12:36 AM EST

On Dec 13, 11:41 pm, webado wrote:


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JohnMu Google employee  
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(11 users)  More options Dec 14 2007, 4:10 am
From: JohnMu
Date: Fri, 14 Dec 2007 01:10:20 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Dec 14 2007 4:10 am
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
Yay, 10k posts :-). Thanks for being such an active member of our
community, webado!

That's a good approach, JLH. However, don't you need to take the
holidays into consideration? Does this mean webado will have more or
less time on her hands? Hmm. What are your holiday plans, webado?

I'll leave the guessing to you all :-).

John


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IceGiant  
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(12 users)  More options Dec 14 2007, 6:06 am
From: IceGiant
Date: Fri, 14 Dec 2007 03:06:40 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Dec 14 2007 6:06 am
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
Look John...

By applying my own formula [which I have now patented], I would
reasonably expect Webado to reach the 10k post mark around noon
[12.31?] on December 29th.

HOWEVER... as JohnMu pointed out, this formula does not take into
account the fact that Christmas [Damn! I do apologise to any ethnic
minorities reading this for my flagrant use of the 'C' word, which
seems to cause so much offence all round, when I should really have
said 'Holidays'**]

In any case... Given the fact that 'The Holidays' fall right into the
middle of my calculations, I've had to make certain
adjustments[assuming of course that Webado celebrates Chr - DAMN!
DAMN! DAMN! - the Holidays in the traditional way, which bring my
'official guess' to January 3rd [mid-afternoon around 3.20]

Well done Chris :-)

Cheers

Sasch

**Ok, Sorry, but I'm off on one now.
I know I shouldn't rant, but I haven't had enough coffee or nicotine
yet today, so I'm 'in a mood'.
Anyway, seeing as we're not allowed to call it Christ - oops, almost
did it again - anymore, I vote that Hanukkah henceforth be known as
'Temple Rededication Day' and that Ramadan becomes 'Not Eating Month'.
Not being familiar with Buddhist holy festivals, I have no suggestions
to offer on that score.

Isn't it about time political correctness was curbed just a little
bit?
I mean 'Snowperson'? Honestly...
Gimme two potatos and a cucumber, and I'll prove to you it's a
snowman...


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IceGiant  
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(12 users)  More options Dec 14 2007, 6:08 am
From: IceGiant
Date: Fri, 14 Dec 2007 03:08:09 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Dec 14 2007 6:08 am
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment

> (both date and also time in Eastern Standard Time)

Err...

Adam?

What happened to GMT being the web's official time-zone? ;-)


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JLH  
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(11 users)  More options Dec 14 2007, 10:21 am
From: JLH
Date: Fri, 14 Dec 2007 07:21:46 -0800 (PST)
Local: Fri, Dec 14 2007 10:21 am
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
Oh you are getting tricky...so you think...of course I included the
holidays in my calculations, weekends, 2 hours of sleep a night,
Canadian stuff, birthdays, new years, et. al.  All I showed is the
final formula all of the modeling that went into getting to that was
the hard work.  It gets complicated when you consider the time
constraints required by holiday celebration weighed against the
natural human feelings of the desire to help more people that time of
the year.  I finally arrived at the conclusion that it was not
solvable by standard mathematical means and resorted to a converging
iterative process.  I of course didn't have enough computing power
here at the house, so I had to set up a SETI like network of 100s of
volunteers each running the simulation.  After all known scenerios
were calculated, I quickly set up a WOPR like room in the back of the
house (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WOPR)

Soon kids will be quoting Y = -9E-09x^2 + 0.0214x + 5535.6 like they
say E=mC^2 without knowing the proof or the work behind it.

"SHALL WE PLAY A GAME?"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tAcEzhQ7oqA

On Dec 14, 5:06 am, IceGiant wrote:


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Sebastian  
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(10 users)  More options Dec 14 2007, 9:36 pm
From: Sebastian
Date: Fri, 14 Dec 2007 18:36:00 -0800 (PST)
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment
You need to track Santa via NORAD coz Webado will submit her post
#10,000 when he crosses Anchorage coming from the north pole. Forget
all the holiday BS, that's for kids, geeks KISS. ;)
Sebastian

On Dec 14, 4:21 pm, JLH wrote:


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IceGiant  
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(12 users)  More options Dec 15 2007, 4:17 pm
From: IceGiant
Date: Sat, 15 Dec 2007 13:17:03 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sat, Dec 15 2007 4:17 pm
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment

> You need to track Santa via NORAD coz Webado will submit her post
> #10,000 when he crosses Anchorage coming from the north pole.

North Pole?

Have you not been listening to the news?

Santa's located in the mountains on the borders of Kazakstahn, because
that's the optimum location on earth to get all his deliveries out of
the way in one night, whilst taking maximum advantage of time-
differences...


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IceGiant  
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(10 users)  More options Dec 16 2007, 3:02 pm
From: IceGiant
Date: Sun, 16 Dec 2007 12:02:29 -0800 (PST)
Local: Sun, Dec 16 2007 3:02 pm
Subject: Re: Webado nears the 10K mark... but YOU guess the exact moment

> Oh you are getting tricky...so you think...

Now look here you mathematical shyster... ;-)

It is quite obvious that your formula is fundamentally flawed, despite
your use of WOPR** and SETI-like networks, as you have plainly
neglected to take the winter solstice and the northern lights into
account where your calculations are concerned...

By using my superior intellect, an old Abacus, and with the incessant
help of a load of Persian cats and the little green gnome who lives
under my hat, I can safely state that Zero-Hour will be on January 3rd
at 3.21PM (and 34 seconds)

**I remember going to the cinema to see WarGames. How sad is that?


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