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World's Climate 'clearly out of balance'
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Pastor Dale Morgan  
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 More options Jan 25 2008, 5:42 am
From: Pastor Dale Morgan <dgrmor...@telus.net>
Date: Fri, 25 Jan 2008 02:42:31 -0800
Local: Fri, Jan 25 2008 5:42 am
Subject: World's Climate 'clearly out of balance'
*Perilous Times

World's Climate 'clearly out of balance'*

The AGU's statement points the finger of blame at human activities

The world's climate is "clearly out of balance and is warming", the
world's largest society of Earth and space scientists has said in a
statement.

The American Geophysical Union (AGU) warned that changes to the Earth's
climate system were "not natural".

Changes in temperature, sea level and rainfall were best explained by
the increased concentration of greenhouse gases from human activities,
it added.

The union called for carbon emissions to be cut by more than 50% by 2100.

It is the first time the AGU has updated its policy position on climate
change since 2003, when it called for a concerted worldwide study to
understand how the Earth would change as a result of climate change.

'Tough challenge'

The revised statement has gone further, stating that the changes to the
planet's climate system were "best explained by the increased
atmospheric abundances of greenhouse gases and aerosols generated by
human activities in the 20th Century".

There are fewer caveats that might have appeared in previous
statements-Professor Tim Killeen,-AGU president

The AGU Council, which adopted the updated position, said that a
sustained research effort involving many of its members had strengthened
the scientific understanding of the impacts of climate change.

It warned that the world faced a tough challenge over the coming 50
years: "Even the lower limit of impending climate change - an additional
global mean warming of 1.0C (1.8F) above the last decade - is far beyond
the range of climate variability experienced during the past 1,000 years.

"Warming greater than 2.0C (3.6F) above 19th Century levels is projected
to be disruptive, reducing global agricultural productivity, causing
widespread loss of biodiversity, and - if sustained over centuries -
melting of much of the Greenland ice sheet."

If the 2C rise was to be avoided, the AGU said, net annual emissions of
carbon dioxide had to be cut by at least 50% by the end of the century.

It acknowledged that, as with most projections, there was a degree of
uncertainty but that it was highly unlikely that the impacts would be
"inconsequential".

IPCC ASSESSMENT

The IPCC says more heat waves are very likely in the future

"This is a fast-moving field of science and the AGU felt it was time to
update the statement," AGU president, Tim Killeen, told BBC News.

"We took seven months to do it; we brought together a panel of experts,
who created drafts which underwent extensive critical review, and it was
formally approved by the elected Council in December."

Although the statement is consistent with previous positions adopted by
the AGU, Professor Killeen said it differed in a number of ways.

"There are fewer caveats that might have appeared in previous
statements," he explained.

"It is more of a declarative statement that the climate is changing and
those changes are best explained by human effects due to greenhouse
gases and aerosols."

"Secondly, rather than the AGU saying that this is important and should
be looked at, I think this is a call that we need to do something about it."

In 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published
its Fourth Assessment Report, which said changes to the climate were
"very likely" the result of human activity.

The IPCC also warned that the cost of acting now to reduce emissions
would be far less than having to adapt to the future consequences of
climate change.

The AGU, which has 50,000 members in 137 countries, said delivering
solutions would require the co-operation of all sectors; from science
and technology, to industry and government.


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