On Feb 20, 12:43 pm, PD <
TheDraperFam...@gmail.com> wrote:
> On Feb 20, 1:49 pm, Simpleton <
hu...@whoever.com> wrote:
>
> > On Feb 20, 11:18 am, PD <
TheDraperFam...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> > Which is why I am raising the *very specific* example of demons.
>
> > What kind of reasoning will it take, for someone to accept Andrea's
> > demons?
>
> I don't have a rule. Does there have to be a rule about which
> combination of the above people use to assess the truth (with some
> continuous scale of certainty) of that statement?
>
No, and you'll note that I have tried everything to indicate that I am
looking for your thoughts in a specific matter, not *the* rule, or *a*
rule?
I keep hoping that it is my not inability to express, clarify or
restate that I am not, repeat not, looking for a rule, however rigid
or loose you want it to be.
>
>
> > What kind of reasoning will it take to evaluate if someone (and I will
> > explicitly note that I do not mention man or god) walked on water to a
> > praying audience of 30 at a beach, and blessed them, in February 2008?
>
> I don't have a sure-fire rule. If you're looking for a prescription of
> what combination will work in one context and what combination will
> work in another context, I don't have one. I certainly don't think
> there is a single, good prescription.
>
Do you have a single thought on the matter that you feel comfortable
sharing, PD? Not a rule, not a binding one, not a guideline, not a
standard, just an opinion, perhaps?
On the specific matter of demons. Not of puzzling quandaries in
Quantum mechanics, not of Higgs boson with mass of 90 GeV/c^2, not of
Euclidean geometry errors, not of Capital punishment.
Demons. or the Devil.
Pick either.
>
>
> > > Anybody who looks at
> > > the complaints about quantum mechanics and relativity from cranks and
> > > amateurs on the physics newsgroups will recognize both the aspiration
> > > and the refusal.
>
> > Except that amateurs on the sci.physics and sci.relativity groups can
> > be confronted with established theories -- based on evidence
> > (observation, testing, etc.)
>
> Please note what my comment was about. There is no evidence that there
> is a single, reliable rule that will generate the best quality of
> certainty regardless of context.
Yes, I understand that.
> There is some demonstrated success in
> a *particular* context. Note that the combination varies, going even
> from mathematics to physics to marketing.
>
Yes, I understand that, too. I also understand that *all* contexts do
not have that demonstrated success, nor am I implying that all
contexts should have one, nor that a particular one does or does not
have one, nor that you said we should or should not have one.
In the specific context of demons, are you personally aware of any
demonstrated success?
> > Item 7. or beyond in your list. Just
> > like the cranks here on ID. It is different matter that cranks are
> > not convinced.
>
> Exactly. It doesn't matter that cranks aren't convinced that there
> isn't a single, good rule for determining truth to optimum certainty.
>
Thank you for agreeing with my obvious agreement.
>
>
> > How do you decide to accept or not accept an Andrea Yates? Or one
> > instance of exorcism from another?
>
> In the case of Andrea Yates, I deliberately suspend that evaluation.
>
Yes. Why do you suppose that is?
> Relative to the claims regarding Jesus, I include in the evaluation of
> his claims a number of things, including my impartation of trust to
> witnesses and testimony, consistency of the validity and reliability
> of his other statements, resonance with my own personal convictions,
> evaluation of the relative likelihood of the claims being true and the
> claimants being liars, and a couple of other things.
>
Claim. Not claims regarding. One specific claim. (Pick the devil
tempting him, or the demons exorcised by him and his merry men)
Do you have personal convictions about demons that resonate well with
it? Do you have some loose way of evaluating (and again I am NOT
looking for rules, or standards) the relative likelihood of demons
2000 years ago?
Or is it, because you simply trust the account to be true based on
<whatever else>?
> In the case of Andrea's demons, I have much less to go on for an
> evaluation. I do not have any witnesses or testimony to Andrea's
> demons to even impart trust, I have no resonance with my personal
> convictions about anything she claims, I have less way to evaluate the
> likelihood of her claims being true vs the claimant being a liar, or
> the consistency and reliability of her other statements.
>
But you have no personal resonance with the demons of 2000 years ago,
either.
OK, maybe you won't answer that but can I at least get you to offer an
opinion on the Yates's case?
Due to lack of whatever for an evaluation, how certain are you,
approximately that Yates's demons were unreal?
Closer to 100%, 50% (agnostic), more certain, less certain, quite
certain? *Something* that on your scale or estimate that expresses a
value of certainty for it?
I do not care if it is precise, of if there is a rule for it.
> It's a similar issue with the Flying Spaghetti Monster. I have no
> witness accounts of the FSP (let alone ones where I can decide to
> impart trust), no resonance with personal convictions or experience,
> and even less way to evaluate the relative likelihood of the claims
> being true and the claimants being liars, and so on.
>
Which is not interesting to me at all, since it does not pose the
issue I am posing. Likewise you can exclude Spongebob, Russell's
teapot, Bugs Bunny, and others.
I used demons (and the devil) specifically because you do seem to
accept their existence at least 2000 years ago.
Please have the last word, unless you want me to answer questions. I
believe I have made my questions clear, and if they are not, it is not
worth the effort on my part for now.
Thanks, PD.